ChatGPT in the context of historical pivots

ChatGPT launched in 2022, at the trough of the Kondratiev Wave, the peak of Turchin's structural stress, and deep in the Fourth Turning. Perfect timing for a technology built to help reshape a collapsing order.

• Kondratiev Wave: Every 60 years, the global economy resets. Innovation blooms from collapse, old empires fall, new giants rise. Welcome to the long wave.
• Turchin's Structural Stress: Every 50 years, elites overproduce, inequality peaks, and social cohesion snaps. That's when civilizations face their stress test.
• Fourth Turning: Every 88 years, the status quo burns. Institutions crumble, society fragments, and a new order is born from the ashes.

Taken together, ChatGPT's release less than three years ago places it in pole position to thrive amidst the current volatility and help shape the subsequent societal reordering.